Talk:Exit poll
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And there's the fresh Venezuela case.[1] A win-win for the US, of course. Either their "polls" succeed in swaying the vote or provide "evidence" the vote was rigged. 142.177.127.106 03:42, 20 Aug 2004 (UTC)
- Funded by the NED[2] - thought so. 142.177.125.172 16:14, 20 Aug 2004 (UTC)
[edit] NPOV dispute
See 2004 U.S. presidential election controversy, exit polls, and esp. 2004_U.S._presidential_election_controversy,_exit_polls#USCountVotes. Also see Bayesian and conditional probability. Kevin Baastalk 21:15, 2005 Feb 23 (UTC)
[edit] UK polls banned
I would like to request a citation alert for the sentence in this article that suggests that UK opinion polls are banned. Harry Hayfield 17:25, 21 October 2006 (UTC)
[edit] Why do media organizations restrict exit poll results during elections?
I've noticed that media organizations don't release exit poll results during an election. Is this voluntary, or the result of a law? The timing of exit poll releases would be helpful in the article. -- Creidieki 18:10, 7 November 2006 (UTC)
- In the US it's a voluntary witholding, in large part due to how bad the 2004 exit polls were. The raw exit poll leaked to the Drudge Report and other plotical blogsters mid afternoon and it turned out the demographics of that exit poll were several percentage points off on the demographics of those who voted. (Ratio of Females to Males; Age breakdown; Singles to Married; etc ) Now the major news media tended to use the final adjusted for demographic exit polls for projecting results early on election night, but evenually one by one they determined it wasn't accurate enough when they compared the actual results in these precints to the exit polls for the precints and purged the exit poll data from the projection systems. (As I recall, that adjusted was within normal margin of error but in a close election 2 1/2 percentage points just isn't good enough.) There were a long list of theories these exit polls could have been off, including the limited number of hours the exit polls were (in general during morning work hours), perhaps those too busy to take an exit poll were disporporately from one political party, and in some states large percentage of early voting and/or vote by mail. 168.166.196.40 20:59, 7 November 2006 (UTC)
