57th New Brunswick general election

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The 57th New Brunswick general election is expected to be held on October 18, 2010. The election will return members to the Legislative Assembly in the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick could call for elections earlier or as late as 2011,^[1] however Premier Shawn Graham, the head of government, has pledged to set fixed election dates every four years on the third Monday of October.^[2]

[edit] Target Ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

* Indicates incumbent not running again.

Liberal	Progressive Conservative
Dieppe Centre-Lewisville 0.7% Rothesay 1.5% York 2.4% Charlotte-Campobello 4.4% Saint John Portland 4.6% Moncton West 4.8% New Maryland-Sunbury West 9.0% Tracadie-Sheila 10.1% Moncton Crescent 12.9% Woodstock 13.0%	Fredericton-Nashwaaksis 2.0% Bathurst 2.8% Grand Lake-Gagetown 3.0% Fundy-River Valley 3.3% Moncton North 4.3% Fredericton-Silverwood 6.5% Nepisiguit 6.9% Kent 7.0% Quispamsis 7.3% Southwest Miramichi 7.6%

[edit] Timeline

October 10, 2006 - Organizers for the Green Party of Canada in New Brunswick announce plans to form a provincial Green Party in time to field a full slate of candidates in this election. [3]
November 5, 2006 - Allison Brewer resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party. She will be replaced on an interim basis by Pat Hanratty and permanently upon the election of a new leader in late 2007.
December 12, 2006 - An opinion poll conducted November 10 to December 7 by Corporate Research Associates showed the Liberals enjoying an unprecedented lead in opinion polls, standing at 65% in contrast to 27% for the Progressive Conservatives, 6% for the New Democrats and 2% for the Greens.^[4]
December 13, 2007 - Bernard Lord resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives and announces he will resign his seat in the legislature on January 31, 2007. [5]
March 5, 2007 - Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.

New Brunswick general elections

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[edit] Sources

^ Section Four of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms (Constitution Act 1982)
^ Charter for Change, Liberal platform for the 2006 election [6]
^ Carl Davies, Grit popularity soars, New Brusnwick Telegraph-Journal, page A1, December 12, 2006