Arizona United States Senate election, 2006
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The 2006 U.S. Senate election for the state of Arizona was held November 7, 2006. Republican Jon Kyl defeated Democrat Jim Pederson to win a third term in the Senate.
The primary election was held on September 12. The incumbent, Republican Jon Kyl, was elected to the Senate in 1994 and was re-elected to a second term in 2000; prior to that he spent eight years in the US House of Representatives. Kyl's Democratic opponent for the general election is wealthy real-estate developer Jim Pederson, who served as the Arizona Democratic Party Chairman from 2001 to 2005. During his tenure, Pederson spent millions of dollars of his own money to help Democrats modernize and to elect current Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano. The deadline for signing petition signatures to appear on the September 12, 2006 primary ballot was June 14, 2006.
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[edit] September 2005 -- Pederson enters the race
Not long after the 2004 election, Pederson's name began being mentioned as a potential Senate candidate for the 2006 race. On July 28, 2005, Pederson formally stepped down as Chair of the Arizona Democratic Party, further fueling those speculations.
In early September 2005, an e-mail was sent from the Arizona Democratic Party's website, inviting people to an announcement by Pederson on September 7. In an anticlimactic move, an e-mail was sent out shortly after the first saying that the announcement would be postponed due to Hurricane Katrina. It was requested that any money that would be donated to Pederson's campaign at the announcement be directed to relief efforts instead. Similarly, a meeting in Arizona of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) was scheduled for around the same time. It was also postponed and the same request was made involving donations. On September 7, 2005, Pederson filed to run for US Senate.
On September 14, 2005, Pederson formally announced his intention to run, in his home town of Casa Grande, Arizona.
[edit] Expectations
Although Kyl started the campaign with a sizable lead in most polls, the gap quickly narrowed, especially after Pederson released his array of ads.
The race might be one of the most expensive in Arizona history. As of May 7, 2006, Kyl's campaign had raised over $9 million, primarily from private donations from Oil and Energy companies and large fundraising dinners. Pederson's campaign had raised over $5 million, primarily through a dinner event with former President Clinton and a $2 million donation from Pederson.
[edit] List of candidates
[edit] Democrats
- Jim Pederson - real estate developer, former Arizona Democratic Party chair (2001-2005)
[edit] Republican
- Jon Kyl - incumbent Senator (1995-Current)
[edit] Libertarian
- Richard Mack - former Graham County sheriff, gun control opponent [1]
[edit] Former Candidates
[edit] Democrats
- John Verkamp - Veteran and former Republican state Senator
- Leonard Clark - teacher, Iraq War veteran, and liberal activist
[edit] Opinion Polls
| Source | Date | Kyl (R) | Pederson (D) | Mack (L) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon/MSNBC-McClatchy | November 5, 2006 | 49% | 41% | 3% |
| SurveyUSA | November 3, 2006 | 53% | 40% | 4% |
| Zimmerman/Marketing Intelligence | October 25-30, 2006 | 45.8% | 41.3% | 3.7% |
| Arizona State University/KAET-TV | October 24, 2006 | 47% | 41% | 3% |
| Zogby/WSJ | October 19, 2006 | 49.9% | 43.7% | |
| Rasmussen | October 19, 2006 | 51% | 42% | |
| SurveyUSA | October 17, 2006 | 48% | 43% | 4% |
| Northern Arizona University | October 17, 2006 | 49% | 33% | 2% |
| Behavior Research Center | October 4, 2006 | 40% | 34% | |
| Zogby/WSJ | September 28, 2006 | 50.5% | 44% | |
| Arizona State University/KAET-TV | September 26, 2006 | 49% | 38% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | September 19, 2006 | 48% | 43% | 2% |
| Rasmussen | September 18, 2006 | 50% | 39% | |
| Zogby/WSJ | September 11, 2006 | 50.2% | 43.5% | |
| Harstad Strategic Research (D) | September 7, 2006 | 47% | 41% | |
| Rasmussen | August 31, 2006 | 52% | 35% | |
| Arizona State University/KAET-TV | August 29, 2006 | 46% | 36% | |
| Zogby/WSJ | August 28, 2006 | 48.3% | 44.2% | |
| Rasmussen | August 2, 2006 | 53% | 34% | |
| Behavior Research Center | July 26, 2006 | 45% | 27% | |
| Zogby/WSJ | July 24, 2006 | 50.2% | 42.4% | |
| SurveyUSA | July 17, 2006 | 52% | 40% | |
| Zogby/WSJ | June 21, 2006 | 48.4% | 41.7% | |
| Arizona State University/KAET-TV | June 20, 2006 | 43% | 29% | |
| Rasmussen | June 11, 2006 | 52% | 35% | |
| Behavior Research Center | May 18, 2006 | 40% | 33% | |
| SurveyUSA | May 8, 2006 | 52% | 37% | |
| Rasmussen | April 30, 2006 | 51% | 35% | |
| Arizona State University/KAET-TV | April 20-23, 2006 | 42% | 31% | |
| Rasmussen | April 4, 2006 | 56% | 33% | |
| Zogby/WSJ | March 30, 2006 | 47% | 42% | |
| SurveyUSA | February 27, 2006 | 57% | 33% | |
| Behavior Research Center | January 22, 2006 | 55% | 26% | |
| Rasmussen | December 26, 2005 | 50% | 30% | |
| Arizona State University | October 28, 2005 | 50% | 28% |
[edit] Election results
| 2006 United States Senate election, Arizona | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Republican | Jon Kyl (incumbent) | 814,398 | 53.3 | -26.0 | |
| Democratic | Jim Pederson | 664,141 | 43.5 | n/a | |
| Libertarian | Richard Mack | 48,231 | 3.2 | -1.9 | |
| Majority | 150,257 | 9.8 | |||
| Turnout | 1,526,770 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
[edit] External links
- Kyl's campaign website
- Pederson's campaign website
- Mack's campaign website
- Verkamp's campaign website
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